Prop Bets, Odds And Picks For Donald Cerrone Vs. Justin Gaethje
In the main event of Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 158, two top-five ranked lightweights look to remain in the title hunt and maybe pick up some fight-night bonus money.
The 155-pound contest features former title challenger Donald Cerrone and ex-World Series of Fighting lightweight titleholder Justin Gaethje. Cerrone is currently ranked No. 4 in the division. Gaethje checks in at No. 5. Between them the two offense-first fighters have combined for 11 post-fight awards since 2017.
UFC Fight Night 158 takes place Saturday at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. The entire card streams on ESPN+. The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET, followed by the main card at 8 p.m. ET.
Here is a look at the prop bets for the matchup.
Will the fight go the distance?
I don’t think the bout will go the distance, but the odds on yes are kind of appealing. If Cerrone can weather the early storm and avoid the heavy leg kicks of Gaethje could be able to last the distance. However, that’s a big if since Cerrone has a tendency to start slow. He cannot afford that type of start against. If you really like Cerrone to win, maybe take a chance here.
Will Cerrone win within the distance?
Gaethje has a solid chin, but he tends to let that chin hang out there to get tagged. He was a little safer and more patient in his most recent bout. Cerrone could catch him with a kick and out him away, but I don’t think it’s likely. I also don’t think Cerrone will be able to get the fight to the ground to submit Gaethje. In short, I don’t see Cerrone scoring a stoppage.
Will Gaethje win within the distance?
While I do believe that Gaethje will score the knockout in this fight, I don’t know if the odds are worth it here.
Will Cerrone win by decision?
I think a decision win is the most likely way Cerrone will win this fight and the odds are pretty good here. So, if you’re a fan of Cerrone, this isn’t a bad deal at all.
Will Gaethje win by decision?
Gaethje does not go the distance often and I don’t think he will in this fight. With that being said, the odds on him not winning by decision are terrible.
Will the fight end in a draw?
As always, at +9500, it’s always worth taking a (very) small chance on a fight ending in a draw. It’s not likely, but the payoff is too good to resist if you have some disposable income.
Odds via 5 Dimes.
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